Trade Winds Economic Pulse Report · April 2026

One year in: spending is more deliberate

One year after tariffs first made headlines, Americans are navigating an economy shaped by rising prices, global instability, and sustained cost pressure.

Close-up of leather wallet with cash, representing rising costs and household budget pressure

Rising prices across multiple fronts

Costs are increasing across multiple fronts at once, creating a compounding effect on household budgets.

Shopping cart filled with groceries, representing deliberate purchasing decisions and cost awareness

More intentional decisions

People are becoming more deliberate, carefully weighing how they live, spend, and plan for what's ahead.

Negative sentiment is high and shaping purchasing decisions

0
Negative
Feelings about current economy
0
Positive
Feelings about current economy

Top emotions driving sentiment

😤 Frustrated
17%
😰 Stressed
16%
😟 Anxious
12%
😔 Pessimistic
11%

Hearing directly from consumers

Female, Boomer, South

Female, Millennial, West

Male, Millennial, Northeast

Female, Gen X, South

The emotional backdrop is changing how decisions are made. Purchases are more considered, more scrutinized, and more selective.

"Grocery prices are for sure a worry. We haven't been able to save for a vacation in a while because cost of living has gone up so much."

Female, Gen Z, Midwest

"I'm trying to fuel up less often."

Male, Boomer, Northeast

"I'm keeping an eye on the creeping prices of things and finding ways to replace them or cut them from my list."

Male, Gen Z, West

"I am scouring yard sales and thrift stores for craft materials to make Christmas presents instead of purchasing new things as presents."

Female, Millennial, Northeast

"I have already drastically stopped spending on nonessential goods and services."

Male, Gen X, South

"Just being more conservative, spending less, driving less, cancelled vacation to Hawaii. The list is endless."

Female, Boomer, South

Optimism is limited and confidence is fragile

Outlook on the future (overall)

8 to 10 — Very optimistic 0%
5 to 7 — Moderately optimistic 0%
1 to 4 — Not optimistic 0%

Scale: 10 = "Very optimistic", 1 = "Not optimistic"

Outlook on personal financial future

8 to 10 — Very optimistic 0%
5 to 7 — Moderately optimistic 0%
1 to 4 — Not optimistic 0%

Scale: 10 = "Very optimistic", 1 = "Not optimistic"

Tariff awareness remains but attention has shifted

Over time, attention has shifted away from policy itself and toward the real-world impact. The focus is no longer on tariffs as a headline, but on how rising costs show up in everyday life.

0%
say they understand tariffs

Grocery prices have the most impact

Where rising prices are hitting hardest in everyday life

Gas prices are driving visible behavior change

0%
concerned about rising gas prices

How consumers are responding

Cutting non-essential trips 65%
Driving less overall 61%
Planning errands more carefully 57%

Subscriptions reveal how consumers are making trade-offs

Consumers aren't cancelling everything. They are prioritizing.

0%
watching subscription costs more closely

Considered canceling these services

0%
📺
Video Streaming
0%
🎮
Gaming
0%
🍔
Food Delivery
0%
🎵
Music
0%
🛍️
Retail Memberships

What this means for brands

Every purchase is now a decision. Consumers are actively filtering what is worth it and what is not. Brands must compete on whether they make it through that filter.

Value must be clear and immediate.

Consumers need to see why your product or service is worth the cost, right now.

Pricing must feel fair.

Transparency matters. Hidden fees and surprise increases erode trust quickly.

Support must be tangible and visible.

Show consumers you understand their pressure. Coupons, sales, flexible options — these signals matter.

What consumers are telling brands

About the approach

What is Trade Winds?

Trade Winds is a mobile-first research community designed to capture real-time consumer sentiment as economic conditions evolve.

Who participates?

Everyday consumers who engage in short, conversational exercises via the Rival mobile research platform. This enables fast, in-the-moment insights.

When was this conducted?

April 2 to April 9, 2026

Why this approach?

Mobile, chat-based methods drive deeper and more candid responses. This helps reveal the human impact behind economic trends.

Methodology

U.S. adults (18+), Rival Audiences, N = 480

Mobile Chat

Rival mobile research chat interface showing a conversational survey about tariff concerns

Curious to know more?

Email info@reach3insights.com or
use the Contact button below.

Reach3 Insights, Rival Technologies, Angus Reid Group